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Trump v. Biden 2024: Exactly whom should you bet on?

Is the 45th President of the United States gearing up for a historic comeback? 

Despite the legal challenges that have emerged in his path, Donald Trump’s chances for securing the GOP nomination in 2024 appear stronger than ever. The former President is not only leading the Republican primary race by over thirty points, but he’s also competing head-to-head with President Joe Biden for the general election. 

Let’s dive into what’s fueling this unexpected surge in the political arena, and see who the winner in the Trump v Biden 2024 race may truly be.

The Trump Phenomenon

Trump is not just a frontrunner; he’s dominating the GOP primary with more than fifty percent of support in the national primary polls. He’s the man to beat, outpacing his closest rival, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, by a margin of over thirty points.

With numbers like these, Trump is in a place few have been before. Only three other candidates in modern history, Democrat Al Gore and Republicans George W. Bush and Hillary Clinton, have held such a commanding lead in primary surveys during the second half of the calendar year before the election.

The Trump wave is rolling not only nationally but in early-voting states like Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina, where he’s up by double digits. Unlike previous election cycles, Trump’s substantial lead is a clear indication of his party’s strong backing.

Battling Biden: A Potential Rematch

What’s astonishing is that Trump’s two indictments haven’t dented his popularity. Polls, including one from Marquette University Law School last week, show him either tied or ahead of Biden. He’s competitive in a potential rematch, defying conventional wisdom.

This close competition between Trump and Biden isn’t surprising, considering both candidates’ popularity ratings. Surveys like the ABC News/Washington Post poll consistently place Trump within striking distance of or ahead of Biden, turning 2024 into a nail-biter.

With the 2024 election likely hinging on a few swing states, a late June Quinnipiac University poll from Pennsylvania stands as a giant warning sign for Democrats. Trump was up on Biden by one point in this pivotal state, a remarkable achievement and a signal of his enduring appeal.

The Big Picture: A Real Possibility

General election polling is not predictive at this stage, leaving plenty of room for twists and turns. Trump’s resurgence in the political scene could be a sign of a changing landscape, where traditional rules and expectations are turned on their heads.

Trump’s strong position, his resilience against legal woes, and the closeness of the polling between him and Biden could signal a new era in American politics. The dynamics of this upcoming election might set a precedent that reshapes future campaigns.

As the 2024 election draws nearer, the political landscape continues to shift. Trump’s strong position, as analyzed by CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten, suggests that we’re in for a thrilling election cycle. But with the unpredictability of politics, anything can happen.

Are we witnessing the dawn of a new political age, or is this just a flash in the pan? Only time will tell, but one thing is certain: The chance that Trump could return to the Oval Office in less than two years is a very real possibility. Will history repeat itself, or will a new chapter unfold?

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